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Kickstarter and the Gartner Hype cycle
Yesterday, I wrote about the inevitable bursting of the Kickstarter bubble. (The post was originally made on Gamasutra).
It seems to me to be pretty clear that we hit the peak of inflated expectations at around the time that Double Fine raised $3.33m two months ago. We are now on the downward slide towards the Trough of Disillusionment, and we will hit bottom in October or so of this year.
Then, as developers and consumers begin to really understand the true potential (and pitfalls) of Kickstarter, crowdfunding will really start to come into its own in 2013.